1) It is cold in the tent. The tent has exactly the same subzero temperature as outside. They have no stove, no sleeping bags and no floor mats. Therefore, from the very beginning I proceed from the assumption that they are not so barely clad in the tent. This is normal. They do not move, but sit and their chances to freeze to death in the tent are not less than down by the fire under the cedar tree.
2) It is cold outside. Whatever happened to them — Yeti, rocket, killers, at all times they were still affected by the cold. At each stage - before the events, at the time, below the cedar and so on. This is factor that doesn't change through out the night. Even if there is not -30°C, but only -10°C, it is still cold.
The question is at what point and how did they react to the cold, when the graver thread (Yeti, rocket, or killers) ceased to be a priority and goes into the background. We know that that they were able to walk 1.5 km, make a fire, begin to gradually die and even take off each other's clothes. So when the main thread subsides, the cold becomes top priority again. We follow their reaction to the cold - the fire, the exchange of clothes.
Lets start form the beginning. Something happens at the tent, something dangerous and life threatening. It creates STRESS situation in the medical sense of the word - an increased protective reaction of the body to the effects of an adverse factor.
Acute phase of stress.
At this moment, in the cerebral cortex is formed a center of dominant arousal, all human mental activity is directed towards one thing - to get out from under the influence, to weaken its effect, to cope.
If the house is on fire - people jump out in shorts and do not think that they will be cold. If there is a child in the house, the mother in the nightgown will run around the house and scream, not realizing how she looks and that she is cold.
This is always accompanied by changes in the endocrine function (adrenaline is released) and the autonomic nervous system (the pupils dilate or contract, the heart begins to beat, the pressure rises, etc.). It is a fact that all these reactions are also protective against cold - heat production increases and a person not only may not feel cold, but may be feel hot.
Subacute phase of stress
1) the person somehow copes with the situation and/or the action of the stress factor begins to weaken. The dominant of the cerebral cortex begins to gradually weaken. The person begins gradually to react to the environment.
Mom saw the child carried out of the house. She still doesn’t care what she looks like, but she’s already covered with a blanket or coat. The released adrenaline is partially consumed and the panic and screaming stage will be replaced with her standing and crying. After her heart raced up to 200 beats per minute, it will now slow down to 120. And so on.
2) the stress factor doesn't go away, but the compensatory abilities of the body are already spent. The stage of decompensation begins, which can lead to death. For example - the child was not found, the mother has a heart attack, she loses consciousness and so on.
Getting out of the stress phase
Everything goes back to normal. A person "returns" to its usual routine.
Now let's apply this to the group and the cold. We have stress that caused fleeing the tent. We have a cold to which they do not react, then they begin to react in different ways. The response to cold will reflect the levels of stress.
1) acute phase
There is only one goal - to get out of the tent and go down. They don't care that they are barely clad and barefoot. They don't take anything with them. At this moment they don't feel the cold.
2) subacute phase
They have moved some distance away and are alive. The effect of stress weakens, and the feeling of the surrounding reality begins to set, and first of all the cold.
As soon as you feel “cold”, you will immediately involuntarily react to this: put your hands in your pocket, put your face into the collar of your jacket, pull the sleeves of your sweater over your hands, fasten your jacket
These are still involuntary minimal reactions, but they happen.
We don't see it in Igor.
They go further, at some point they stop and begin to try to understand - where are they, what's is happening to them, who is lost, where can they make a fire and so on. This is almost a way out of acute stress and analysis of the new situation. This is a return back to reality.
And they feel it - it's cold! They reach inside their pockets for gloves. fix the scarf around the neck and remember that they had insoles, and a mask.
These are still minimal manifestations of self preservation.
We don't see this in neither Igor, Zina nor Rustem.
The next stage of conscious activity is realizing that they are in a group. They have already came enough to their senses, have evaluated the feeling of cold, we know t is getting worse, but they are looking out for their friends. One has two caps - he will give it to someone that doesn't.
Again, we don't see this in the three on the slope, and these questions should have been faced already since they have been walking 1.5 km, looking up place for a fire, this reflects the already normal psychological state and an adequate assessment of the situation.
After they started the fire - and this is an unconditional source of heat - there should have analyzed their situation and come up with some plan to cope with it.
But Igor is still in one cotton sock, without a cap and in an unbuttoned vest!
I do not know how why was Igor in Yudin's vest which he left to Doroshenko, and his own was found in the tent, but Igor does not have time to get out of the acute stage of stress, there is not a single sign. Same applies to Zina and Rustem. Unlike everyone else.
1) Exchange of clothing
We have to consider two ways of this happening
- active, while alive and conscious, "I have more, you have less - I will share with you"
- passive, post mortem. Someone died, doesn't need the clothes, we will take them.
2) There are 3 groups of hikers а) on the slope (Zina, Rustem, Igor) b) under the cedar (the two Yuris) and c) in the ravine (Lyuda, Zolotaryov, Kolevatov, Tibo).
3) Each member of the group can be considered as a potential donor of clothes and as a potential recipient of clothes. Depending on the condition in which they left the tent. Getting out of the tent is "not equal" to what they were eventually found.
So what do we have
The group on the slope
Zina - unused face mask under her sweater, 2 caps on her head, 4 or 5 pants (I don’t remember exactly, but many), a lot of socks and fur insoles.
Rustem - insoles that is not using but carries under his sweater. despite the fact he has felt boot on one foot only, and the second one is freezing, but he does not insert the insole into the sock.
Igor - he is dressed less than anybody else, especially his feet, and he doesn't have anything on his head, no cap.
Neither Zina, nor Rustem, nor anyone else lends him items of clothing, so that he would at least slightly warm his feet. He does not use clothes from the den to tear pieces to wrap around his legs, as Lyuda did.
The group on the slope does not have any signs that they realized their state of dressing and to do something about it, to help each other. There is not a single sign that they are interacting with someone below. They died BEFORE the opportunity presented to realize their condition and analyze each other's needs. They died before they realized that they were cold at all? But then they died during the descent, at the very beginning.
Group under the cedar
Their clothing was taken off, almost completely. Obviously after death. So the ones that have their clothes on have lived longer than them. Who are they?
- Kolevatov is in Doroshenko's jumpsuit.
- Tibo has Krivonischenko's wrist watch and possibly one of the sweaters is Krivonischenko's too
- Zolotaryov has Doroshenko's hat.
Group in the ravine
This is the most interesting. We are considering clothing that is not used on the flooring of the den.
- Kolevatov has no cap and no shoes. Moreover, he doesn't make himself a winding on his feet from the clothes on the flooring.
- Zolotaryov wears 2 hats, scarf, shoes. He is dressed beautifully and does not share a scarf with anyone and takes Doroshenko's hat to himself, although he has his woolen cap + scarf, and Kolevatov has nothing
- Tibo is beautifully dressed. Boots, warm jacket, cap and fur hat, crumpled unused socks in felt boots, unused gloves. In spite that...
- Lyuda uses her own women's jacket on the windings, and not sweaters and pants lying on the floor, her hat and jacket are removed from her. Obviously post mortem, because it would greatly weaken her in life.
- The threesome on the slope has no signs of interaction with the other members of the group. There is also no indication that they had time to assess the degree of clothing of each. Did they die first? While descending?
- Second die the two Yuris, and at the same time with them, possibly Lyuda dies too. She is also "death donor" of clothes. And she does not use clothes from the the two Yuris.
- Kolevatov dies after the two Juris, but clearly before Tibo and Zolotaryov. He is also undressed to a degree, post mortem perhaps, (the cap is taken from him for example), but not as much as from the first dead.
Those who remain are dressed as warm as possible, and also don't need to use clothes from the flooring.
- last die Tibo and Semyon.