Theories Discussion > Avalanche

Don’t think so...

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DH106:
I think everyone's pretty much agreed here that an avalanche was pretty unlikely, for the reasons stated.

But here's my theory about the 'initial event' - perhaps there was a perception of an avalance:-

We know the spot where they camped was deep with snow (see frames 11 & 12 of the 'Loose Photos'), so logically they'd have to cut a flat platform or ledge into the snow to place the tent on. This process would also leave a snow 'wall' of some height (depending on how deep in the snow the platform was made) on the uphill (west) side of the tent. We know there was a westerly wind blowing - so perhaps the wind collapsed this wall onto the tent. Although it's only a limited amount of snow, it takes the hikers completely by supprise, and in panic, fearing an actual avalanche they frantically cut their way out of the tent.
Once outside the tent, it would be obvious there was no avalanche, but now the tent has been flattened by snow and cut open in several places. In the dark, perhaps only with flashlights to see with, they conclude that the tent is too damaged & covered with snow for them to fix there and then in the dark. Perhaps one of the group puts his/her flashlight down on the snow pile covering the tent as he/she tries to reach inside to recover items, but the weight of the snow is too much. The flashlight gets left. The more experienced of them realise that they'll soon freeze in this position, and so the decision is made to walk down to the woods, light a fire and await daylight with the intention of returning to clear the snow & fix/re-erect the tent.

Unfortunately, events overtake them in the woods and they never make it  to daylight.

Blkdahlia:
I can’t say it wasn’t an avalanche, here is why...
1) The investigation itself is kinda unreliable.
2) Some of the injuries of the members are very similar to other individuals who have died in an avalanche... like the missing shoes and torn clothing

Regardless of what the investigators say, it’s obvious we can’t rely solely on it.Nothing can be really ruled out and nothing can be proven. They left the case this way.  excuseme

DH106:

--- Quote from: Blkdahlia on August 16, 2018, 06:46:45 PM ---I can’t say it wasn’t an avalanche, here is why...
1) The investigation itself is kinda unreliable.
2) Some of the injuries of the members are very similar to other individuals who have died in an avalanche... like the missing shoes and torn clothing

Regardless of what the investigators say, it’s obvious we can’t rely solely on it.Nothing can be really ruled out and nothing can be proven. They left the case this way.  excuseme

--- End quote ---

The missing shoes were in the tent and so couldn't have been swept away in an avalanche.
Avalanches in general leave plenty of evidence of their passing - there was none, and the fact that the footprints survived is strong evidence against an avalanche.

sarapuk:
All the indications are that there was no avalanche. And an avalanche is unlikely to have caused the subsequent actions.

CalzagheChick:

--- Quote from: sarapuk on August 22, 2018, 05:34:13 PM ---All the indications are that there was no avalanche. And an avalanche is unlikely to have caused the subsequent actions.

--- End quote ---

Why?

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