Theories Discussion > General Discussion

Sequence of events

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beanie07:
I have this proposition regarding the sequence of events:

1. As Zolotaryov and Thibeaux were best dressed (the only 2 with boots), they were probably outside of the tent just before the fateful event occurred
2. "Something" (unknown) then compelled the entire group to exit the tent hastily
3. The group decided to head for the forest away from this "something"
4. At the forest, attempts to create fire was done and the climbing of tree was also done (perhaps to check on that "something's" location around the tent)
5. As both Yuri's were least equipped for the cold outside, they succumbed to the cold and perished
6. The remaining group (all 7 of them) then took the clothing from both Yuris and decided to move deeper into the forest and build a shelter (because their current location offered no protection from the cold) and it wasn't safe yet to return to the tent
7. After the den was built, it was also when a "2nd something" (also unknown) occurred.
8. This "2nd something" was responsible for all the injuries sustained by the 7 (fractured ribs, skulls, deformed neck etc and possibly even accounting for evidence of some fighting)
9. The group of 3 (Slobodin, Igor, Zina) managed to escape and they decided to head back to the tent (regardless of the initial dangers posed by the "1st something")
10. The group of 4 (Dubinina, Kolevatov, Thibeaux, Zoloraryov) didn't make it from their injuries, while the group of 3 succumbed to the cold on their way back to the tent.

Most of the sequences put forward says the group split up after both Yuri's died, but it doesn't seem to explain why the group would split up, or also why there were injuries found on Igor and Slobodin.
The detail about Igor and Kolevatov being found with their jackets unfastened could be that they were in a slightly relaxed condition at the den until the "2nd something" occurred suddenly.

Ps: Did I miss anything?

sarapuk:
The thing that is missing is the thing that would obviously explain everything. And that thing is Q = Why did they leave the tent. In those conditions it must have been something extraordinary to make them do that.

beanie07:
Was thinking we could break down the whole event into 3 questions to ponder:
1. What caused the group to leave the tent?
2. What caused the injuries (severe and minor) to the group?
3. What is the sequence of events that could reconcile all the evidences found so far?

Many approached questions 1 and 2 first but the theories put forward could not satisfyingly keep the plot consistent.
So perhaps we could do some reverse-engineering by coming up with the sequence of events 1st, so it can better eliminate/pinpoint which theory explains why they leave the tent, what caused the injuries?

Considering the injuries for the group of 3 (possibility of fist fight, fractured skull etc), isn't it likely those were sustained in a same event together with the group of 4?
And thus, these 2 groups were either
1. fighting each other or
2. fighting something  (or experiencing a fatal accident) together?
which leads us to the thought that the group of 3 and 4 were actually together (rather than separated when the dire event happened).

sarapuk:
Might be useful to break it down into key areas  ie  THE TENT.  THE FOOTPRINTS.  THE FIRE.  THE TREE.  THE LOCATION OF THE BODIES.  THE DEN if it was a den.  It still looks like the event began with THE TENT.

CalzagheChick:
I like where this is going. Keep going.

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