Organizers Alexey Korolev and Alexander Fedotov made a slight adjustment to the Expedition plan
Организаторы Алексей Королёв и Александр Федотов сделали небольшую корректировку плана Экспедиции https://xn----7sba3aeenggcdi6a1ap8jpa.xn--p1ai/archives/4179
Apparently, the organizers are again "drop a brick or trigger a backlash".
I skip the transfer from the starting point and back to it, although there may be problems and time losses there too, which will affect the success of the event. This, too, must be taken into account if you are serious about it.
1. If everyone's movement on January 28 will be by transportation, then it is feasible. If not, this day will be lost, at least for part of the group. How everyone should connect afterwards will it was be a problem.....
2. On January 29, it is also unclear how to carry out such an extensive program in such a short day (sunrise 9:30 local - sunset 17:00 local), especially that it will probably not be possible to leave early, as in general at the beginning of any journey... About the movement along the Auspia and the supply of the camp you can only fantasize. Especially if we take into account that the Auspia delta is a big swamp, which is not always completely frozen in winter - you can run into a section, which is slightly covered with fresh snow, and immediately deeper - it is water....
This should also be taken into account. By the way, Dyatlov's group did not go there, but made a big detour to the north. Since to go 4...5 kilometers in a day is not for this section. So they walked longer somewhere else, and there is nowhere else to go but north.
That's very optimistic, even if there's no big frost. According to the forecast it should be -15C +/- (~5F+/-), but the forecast is accurate only for 5...7 days (today - only until January 20), and then +/- 50%. Nobody canceled snowfalls according to the forecast.....
Therefore, overnight stay on the "шишка -in Russian = cone" is a very big optimism....
3. If everything will be as planned (which I very much doubt...), then the correction for January 30 will have to be made on the fact that Dyatlov's group went not to the "helmet", but further to the exit to a free place, because on the site "bump" - "their parking on January 30" on the left bank of the Auspia, parking is impossible because of steep banks and high rises. But, God help us, if we succeed....
4. On January 31, the schedule of transition is more than optimistic, especially taking into account all previous problems... If to take into account that they didn't go to the stone-island and "Konstantinov's camp warehouse " is no more than a figure of speech, it would be better to go out into the forestless area and try to dig a little snow (to understand its structure in this place - it's at least some use for research) and immediately go down to a normal parking lot. Without any mirages like "Konstantinov's camp warehouse ". Moreover, this camp may have to be left as a base camp for the next few days. By the way, "Kuntsevich's glade" is quite a suitable option. Moreover, it is already known from summer outings. We would only have enough time for daylight time (since January 29 there is practically nothing will change in daylight duration - 7 hours 32 minutes, sunrise-sunset, minus light losses due to mountain shading).
5. February 1 is another PR action with unclear goals? What do they want to achieve? Although (I am sure) the tent will probably have to be set up (if at all?) not there, but
"под фонарем - under the lantern = patter " where it is more convenient... this is the very moment: what do they want to do, to really study something or to
make himself PR actions themselves?Wouldn't it be better to leave the tent where it was on January 31, and further to conduct
research, the program of which is still "secret"?
All this reminds the proverb: "Хорошо бы, хорошо бы, нам моржа поймать большого…" "It would be good, and would be good it would be good for us to catch a big walrus..." (c) Chukchian parable.
6. February 2 and 3 - the program is more than extensive, but we would like details that it would be possible to evaluate it. The " swing " was very big, but the goals and the technology of realization are not clear. As a rule, in such unclear conditions not much is obtained at all, except for a large number of photos and a set of letters that are not useful for the case. But according to the results of the trip it will be seen what has turned out....
7. The schedule for February 4 is more than tight. Especially considering the effort and resources already expended. 30 km (18.6 mi) distance in those mountains on skis is a very high expenditure of energy. Even assuming that none of the equipment will break down and there is enough daylight - 7 hours and 50 minutes. With the schedule of movement 50 minutes + 10 minutes of rest and spending 70% of the time of the whole day, it turns out to be an
average speed of 4 km / h (2.5 kt). And this is not counting unforeseen time losses, which are always present. Such a schedule is feasible only
for a very strong and prepared group. However, any commercially assembled group does not have such properties. I will be glad to be wrong in this case, but let's see what the result is.
8. The further schedule for the research part is of no interest. However, there may well be delays that could affect traffic and security (as a result of rushing, for example).
Judging by the results of the preliminary expedition in December
https://forum.dyatlovpass.com/index.php?topic=1529.0 , my pessimism is quite justified...
So, according to the results, let's see how estimates and forecasts correspond to requests and aspirations. Unless, of course, the moderator, as an "honest man", again will not delete my writings, as it was on another (Russian) forum.
Just in case, I made screenshots of the screen.
Topic: Ski Expedition "The Dyatlov Group Trail -2024" | January 27 – February 7 (Read 40461 times)