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General Discussion / Re: The Manuals
« Last post by amashilu on October 23, 2026, 03:00:55 PM »I'm a little confused as to your meaning?
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What made them do everything right so far and then begin to deviate from the emergency manual? The deviations are clues.
Reflecting on the Titanic disaster—a pivotal moment in history—I have occasionally asked myself: What if no one had survived? What if, for some reason, the lifeboats could not be launched? Imagine that no SOS signal was sent and, by dawn, the Titanic had vanished without a trace. What if the first rescue ship to reach the estimated coordinates encountered nothing but dozens of lifeless bodies in life jackets floating on the water? Given the technical limitations of the era, would we have ever known about that iceberg drifting southward? Or would the event have remained one of history’s greatest unsolved mysteries? If the Titanic had never been found and I had to formulate a theory about what happened, I would have suggested that the ship succumbed to the waves during a storm. I would have disputed the claim of an iceberg collision, arguing that even if the bow sustained a heavy blow, the engines would have stopped, and the ship would have continued to drift on the surface rather than sinking. What would your honest opinion be in such a scenario? If we were to compare this situation to the Dyatlov Pass incident—in terms of the effort to investigate, understand, and unravel the mystery—what would have happened had the Titanic become the subject of countless conspiracy theories, leaving us forever unaware that it sank after striking an iceberg? In all likelihood, a vast portion of the world's population would never have believed—or would have simply ignored—that truth. Ships or official delegations rushing to assist would not set out to track down an iceberg that had drifted five or six hours to the south merely to verify its existence.
To understand what might have transpired, people today would rely on eyewitness accounts or scientific data. Although the phenomenon of drifting icebergs is well known, their presence still required visual confirmation by lookouts on duty. Even if an authority reported clear skies or severe localized storms over the ocean, how truly convincing could such data be?
Is this not the case with many catastrophic events? The response focuses on immediate outcomes and saving lives. Because of this natural approach, the underlying truth of the event somehow slips from view. By the time it is noticed, too much time has passed, or the evidence no longer carries weight. As for the Malaysian plane heading toward the Indian Ocean...
Logical, not plausible. Plausibility demands evidence,eyewitness, physical, circumstantial. Then, it is just a matter of working out a sequence.. None exist to support a hybrid Nature-Malevalent explanation. Instead, the exercise takes what is real and known, Nature and adds an additional threat by imagined bad actors, 2 or 4 legged, things falling from the sky and so on to explain the inconvenient things like state of dress/ undress, supplies at hand etc.
When there is information missing and you don't know what happened, it is wise to keep an open mind.
My bet is that when the hikers escaped partially collapsed tent and gathered in front of it, they recognized a threat that was much more stronger than 2nd snow slab. But even facing that threat they did not intend to go straight to the forest a mile downhill. Their initial intention was to retreat 400-500 meters and wait till the threat was over. Then return back and restore the tent. But when they reached the 3rd stone ridge, they understood that the threat was not short-term, and they had nothing better than to proceed to the forest - the nearest shelter.
There two things of note. First it the excavated snow covered the prints at the tent, this reinforces the scouring power of the wind. In fact the wind was so strong that one rescuer noted his hand held ski pole was blown horizontally by the wind.
Second, the L cut may have sliced through layers of snow, like layers in a cake, wind driven snow built up as the flow was obstructed by the tent. When it got too heavy enough, just like icing between layers of cake, the top layer slid over the tent, collapsing the middle and back, and creating a condition where the center section could not be re erected. With the tent blown down and covered in a heavy wind, the reasonable option was to clear our and bug out. It should have been a quick there and back to the woods, but that depended on an uncooperative Russian winter.